INDICATIVE PROTOTYPE · figures pending NUMBERS v2.2 sign-off · internal — not for external release
enleashed
Plane B · policyWho pays
under scarcity
Scoping question

When scarcity is priced, who actually pays — and can a rule be kept fair before it is mandated?

Research inputs

REMA reform package (TNUoS, constraint pricing) · Ofgem consumer-vulnerability segments · scarcity-pricing distributional studies.

Method

Drag a scarcity rule; a distributional model recomputes the bill impact across six consumer segments live, with a progressivity verdict.

Plane B · regulator sandbox

Drag the rule. Watch who pays.

An efficient scarcity price and a fair one can look identical on a spreadsheet — until you see where the cost lands. Drag the scarcity curve, choose how cost is allocated, and watch the bill impact ripple across six consumer segments in shadow mode. The point: test the distributional effect before the rule is mandated, not after it hits bills.

Design the rule

Scarcity-price intensity 70%
Cost allocation
Vulnerable bill-rise cap 0%
Recycle scarcity revenue
The scarcity rule · price across the day↕ drag the curve to set intensity
Progressivity verdict
Hit hardest
Scarcity revenue raised
£—
per year, across the population
← better offno changeworse off →
£/yr
Drag the curve or hit a preset.
What this is & isn't: a shadow-mode distributional model on illustrative, anonymised consumer segments — not a forecast of any specific household's bill, and not a live policy. It tests who-pays before a rule is mandated; Enleashed consumes signals and never sets prices or operates the grid. Segment profiles and £ impacts are indicative, pending NUMBERS v2.2 sign-off; grounded in the REMA reform package & Ofgem vulnerability categories.